July 10th UEFA Conference League - Larne FC VS FK Auda Riga Prediction
UEFA Conference League - Larne FC VS FK Auda Riga
Match Time:11-07-2025 03:00 Friday (UTC+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Larne FC Review
Larne FC, runners-up in the 2024-25 NIFL Premiership, enter the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League first qualifying round with confidence, having reached the League phase last season (34th overall). Coached by Tiernan Lynch, their 4-3-3 formation relies on Andy Ryan’s goal-scoring (5 goals in 2025) and wingers Sean Graham and Paul O’Neill, with new signing Matthew Ridley bolstering the defense. Larne are unbeaten in their last 10 competitive matches (W5-D5-L0), including a 2-0 win over Coleraine on April 27, 2025, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their home form at Ballymena Showgrounds (used due to Inver Park’s UEFA pitch failure) is strong, with no losses in their last six home games. No major injuries reported, but Rohan Ferguson’s fitness is key. Recent form: WDDWD.
Larne FC Review
Larne FC, runners-up in the 2024-25 NIFL Premiership, enter the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League first qualifying round with confidence, having reached the League phase last season (34th overall). Coached by Tiernan Lynch, their 4-3-3 formation relies on Andy Ryan’s goal-scoring (5 goals in 2025) and wingers Sean Graham and Paul O’Neill, with new signing Matthew Ridley bolstering the defense. Larne are unbeaten in their last 10 competitive matches (W5-D5-L0), including a 2-0 win over Coleraine on April 27, 2025, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their home form at Ballymena Showgrounds (used due to Inver Park’s UEFA pitch failure) is strong, with no losses in their last six home games. No major injuries reported, but Rohan Ferguson’s fitness is key. Recent form: WDDWD.
Head to Head
No prior competitive meetings exist between Larne FC and FK Auda Riga, making this first leg on July 10, 2025, at Ballymena Showgrounds a fresh encounter. Larne’s disciplined defending (67% of matches over 2.5 goals) contrasts Auda’s high-tempo attack (3.17 goals per match). Expected goals per match: ~2.5, with a 57% chance of both teams scoring, per predictive models.
Prediction: Larne FC 1-0 FK Auda Riga
The UEFA Conference League first qualifying round first leg on July 10, 2025, at 19:00 UTC is a tight affair. Larne’s home strength (unbeaten in 6) and defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game) give them an edge, with Ryan and Graham likely to exploit Auda’s defensive gaps (1.33 goals conceded). Auda’s European experience (third straight campaign) and pacey attack (Rebens, Mikelsons) pose a threat, but their away inconsistencies and 40% Asian Handicap win rate temper expectations. Bookmakers favor Larne (odds ~2.10), with a 47% win probability and under 2.5 goals at 1.90, supported by Larne’s low-concession home games. Ryan to score, Ferguson to keep a clean sheet.
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